Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Addiction arises from the allure of immediate rewards. These instant gratifications clearly activate our brains, attracting those who favor such rewards. They play a critical role in shaping human activities and contributing to addiction. For example, if a student struggling to focus notices immediate improvements after studying for just a little while, they are likely to keep studying diligently. Similarly, if stock investors can confirm the traded stock price a month or a year later during their transactions, they may lose interest in trading. The timing of rewards greatly influences human interactions and societal structures. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”