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Just my thoughts #0390

If we don’t have something, we often think we don’t have it at all. However, even when we possess nothing, we fail to check if someone around us has something, and we simply give up. If someone nearby lacks it, we give up immediately. We struggle to identify the next person around us, don’t inquire about introductions, and we lack the courage to reach out. In difficult situations, we see only the fact that we have nothing substantial and can’t contemplate anything beyond that. No, we don’t even attempt to change our mindset. People falter not because they lack resources, but because they don’t think or have the courage. Even though we should live with wisdom instead of just hard work, we often labor tirelessly but without insight. This leads to more downfall; it feels like choosing to perish. Doing our best doesn’t equate to merely working hard. We strive for achievement yet work diligently without being wise. Consequently, we find ourselves falling again. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”