Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
James Simons founded Renaissance Technologies, the leading American hedge fund investor. He was, in fact, a mathematician. The Medallion Fund he ran had also seen a 200-fold increase in Berkshire Hathaway stock yield, matching Warren Buffett's performance. It was an incredible record, plain and simple. This conclusion was a subtraction of 5% of the management fee from the fund as a GP with 44% of the compensation fee. He invested in a cutting-edge "quant system" that trades stocks using sophisticated computer-aided algorithms. To eliminate emotional interference, the finance industry excluded employees. However, they recruited doctors like him from the science and technology fields. Even having extensive financial and investment knowledge, investment is the conclusion of action. Sound judgment beyond feelings is crucial for investment, but feelings are a variable. It's challenging to become wealthy if you don't control your emotions. In other words, emotions are a...