Walt Disney gained worldwide fame with the animated film ‘Steamboat Willie,’ but Disney’s first studio went bankrupt. By the mid-1930s, he had produced over 400 animations, most of which suffered heavy losses. In 1938, Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs made $8 million in just the first half—more than ten times the earnings of other films. Meanwhile, with this animation, the company paid overdue wages to its employees and recovered the losses it had sustained. An unusual event that changes everything is called a “tail event.” 40% of publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market lose nearly all their market capitalization 10 years after going public. Business and investing, after all, are based on probabilities. No one knows what the “tail event” will be. Therefore, to succeed, you need to try small, steady, many times with little impact, even if you fail. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
There is something that does not change even in the changing situation. For example, even if an autonomous vehicle comes out, the transport property of “the machine that moves the space” does not change. In other words, there is a reason for existence that DOES NOT CHANGE as time passes and the situation changes in some work or object. This is called “essence”. Any improvement, development, or attempt to violate this “essence” must fail. Of course, there are times when it succeeds. But that already was not the essence. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”