When investing in a market where asset trading is ongoing, persistent, and prices are constantly fluctuating, the most important factor is the perception and attitude toward “time.” Here, time refers to a defined “period,” a concept that encompasses the “past,” “present,” and “future.” Knowing the future can make us wealthy. All we know is the “past,” but in reality, even the past is often not fully understood. That is, we must admit we lack complete knowledge about the past, present, or future. In this state, we must conduct business and invest. The attitude toward business and investing is to focus on judging the “trend” by applying the concepts of differential and integral calculus simultaneously. Differential weather (e.g., morning and afternoon of a day) is easy to predict, but long-term future weather cannot be forecasted even by supercomputers. However, by accumulating knowledge of the past and analyzing it integrally, it is possible to predict the trend of the distant future to...
In his book, “Thinking, Fast and Slow,” the Nobel Prize winner in economics, Daniel Kahneman, said that humans have two systems of thinking. These two thinking systems were called “system 1” and “system 2”. “System 1” is an intuitive and emotional thinking system that operates unconsciously and immediately. “System 2” is rational and is determined by careful consideration. “System 1” is advantageous for survival in a crisis and works immediately, so operating costs are less than “System 2”. When humans make decisions, they decide 95% with “System 1” and 5% with “System 2”. Humans decide by emotion, but by reason, they must revenge those foolish emotions. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”