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Just my thoughts #0834

There are two primary approaches to creating something: bottom-up design and top-down design . Top-down design is often seen in architecture. People do not build bricks randomly; instead, they follow the design drawings created by the architect. This method executes a plan that has already been established. When asked why something is built in a certain way, the answer is usually that the blueprint dictates its design. Conversely, bottom-up design does not start with a fixed goal, but rather involves setting and implementing small, actionable rules. For example, termite nests follow this approach. Small termites have a simple rule: to pile up soil. They do this without knowing the reason, but over time, the finished structure is remarkable and sophisticated. The appearance of the Sagrada Familia church , designed by Antoni Gaudí and still under construction, closely resembles a termite nest, differing only in size. Setting goals and planning is one way to create, but actual achievem...

Just my thoughts #0820

Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts ; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0400

Stocks should be bought cheaply and sold at a high price to make a profit. Therefore, it is said that timing—specifically, the timing of buying low and the timing of selling high—is a key factor. However, the issue is that I can’t predict the timing. It’s similar to how we can’t know what the weather will be like a year from now in our area. It’s wise to assume that the best approach is to acknowledge our uncertainty about timing. Attempting to time the market is a common trap for stock investors. Consider this: if you could know the timing, you would be the wealthiest person in the world. The advantage of long-term investing is developing the ability to identify stocks that are likely to appreciate over time, despite the fluctuations in stock prices, and investing in their value. The choice is yours. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0020

One of the most important essentials of business is cognitive dissonance resolution. When researching who watches the Ford Motor Company commercials the most, the results are not potential customers but purchased customers. They want to confirm that their decisions were right or to receive continuous support after their purchases. Because we can never go back to the past, getting confirmation and support from someone makes us easy and comfortable beyond our regrets. So the company's strategy should focus on repurchasing the existing customers, not the new ones. In many business cases, businessmen should avoid assumptions or predictions. We shouldn't run a business depending on our thoughts only. - Joseph's "just my thoughts