When investing in a market where asset trading is ongoing, persistent, and prices are constantly fluctuating, the most important factor is the perception and attitude toward “time.” Here, time refers to a defined “period,” a concept that encompasses the “past,” “present,” and “future.” Knowing the future can make us wealthy. All we know is the “past,” but in reality, even the past is often not fully understood. That is, we must admit we lack complete knowledge about the past, present, or future. In this state, we must conduct business and invest. The attitude toward business and investing is to focus on judging the “trend” by applying the concepts of differential and integral calculus simultaneously. Differential weather (e.g., morning and afternoon of a day) is easy to predict, but long-term future weather cannot be forecasted even by supercomputers. However, by accumulating knowledge of the past and analyzing it integrally, it is possible to predict the trend of the distant future to...
Stocks should be bought cheaply and sold at a high price to make a profit. Therefore, it is said that timing—specifically, the timing of buying low and the timing of selling high—is a key factor. However, the issue is that I can’t predict the timing. It’s similar to how we can’t know what the weather will be like a year from now in our area. It’s wise to assume that the best approach is to acknowledge our uncertainty about timing. Attempting to time the market is a common trap for stock investors. Consider this: if you could know the timing, you would be the wealthiest person in the world. The advantage of long-term investing is developing the ability to identify stocks that are likely to appreciate over time, despite the fluctuations in stock prices, and investing in their value. The choice is yours. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”