Joseph's "Just My Thoughts"

The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Threshold. A boundary value at which a physical phenomenon begins to change. This world is constantly evolving. It doesn’t stop at change but also significantly influences other elements and the surrounding environment. Just like the slightest movement of an Amazon butterfly can trigger a storm across the Pacific Ocean. We live in a world where even small changes can have major impacts and outcomes. Recognizing the threshold before a shift occurs can help us prepare for hardships and alert us to danger. These thresholds exist in various fields that make up our world. It’s just that we often don’t know or suspect them. Surviving in this era is an achievement. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Social media is a world of algorithms, not a window being shown by content creators. Attention is an asset and a lot of exposure to content is power in this social media. However, regardless of the creators' passion, the opportunity to expose is determined by the algorithm. It proves no one has found the secret to the algorithm's favorable selection, which is why so much YouTube content reveals the secrets. If the correct secret has been revealed, people will stop creating competitive content for it. Secrets increase efficiency, but generalizing the secrets is unavoidable. Without generalization, the market is getting smaller. There will be a threshold below which the profit under the confidentiality of the secret is valid. However, exceeding that threshold creates an inverse relationship between secrecy and profit. Until before that threshold is exceeded, the victims of scammers must be victimized unfortunately, hence don't be fooled by those who brag about their secrets w...