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Just my thoughts #0829

Adequacy : Moderate and appropriate nature. In the early days of the Roman Empire , Emperor Tiberius hosted a grand feast and invited an inventor. The inventor presented a glass as a gift, and the emperor inquired about its features. When the inventor claimed that the glass was unbreakable , the emperor dropped it on the floor. Only one side was dented, and the emperor touched that spot, restoring it to its original condition. Astonished, the emperor asked the inventor, “Have you ever taught anyone how to make this glass?” The inventor replied, “I did not tell anyone.” Then the emperor ordered his execution because if the recipe for the glass were known, the value of the emperor’s gold and silver treasures would plummet. No matter how excellent something is, it can be the worst depending on the situation and context. That’s why adequacy is essential. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0458

This world is designed to obscure the distinction between cause and effect. Accurately identifying the issue is crucial for escaping a crisis or solving a problem. The first step in addressing a problem is to differentiate between cause and effect. After that comes the verification of the identification. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”