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Showing posts with the label type I error

Just my thoughts #0722

If God granted me only one ability to become wealthy, I would not hesitate to ask for the skill of ‘storytelling.’ ‘Storytelling’ is the ability to choose how to interpret the same phenomenon or fact and how to communicate the message I want to convey persuasively. Ultimately, the world takes sides and gains support through the interpretation and explanation of stories. Gaining attention and support from people is the foundation for achieving a lot from nothing. In a time when there was no modern media, the most popular people were grandmothers and grandfathers who could tell entertaining oral stories every night before bed. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”