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Showing posts with the label type I error

Just my thoughts #0729

The dew is small, but because of its transparent, convex lens-like shape, it captures everything around it in that tiny water droplet. The fact that such a small size can contain so much information is truly astonishing. Sometimes size matters, but material and shape are often more important. If your bowl is small, don’t be discouraged; it’s better to focus on the material and shape. Greatness makes no excuses. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”