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Showing posts with the label type I error

Just my thoughts #0769

What in this world isn’t influenced by politics? Politics shapes art and media alike. It involves governing the world and making decisions that determine the future. Art is a product of that influence. Works of art, media messages, and knowledge recorded in books reflect the spirit of the times and offer clues about what’s ahead. Investing is a risky venture in an uncertain future. Therefore, the ability to appreciate artworks and interpret media messages is a vital skill for professionals in investment. Someone who ignores the arts, the progress of knowledge, and the flow of media messages is unlikely to make wise investments. Loving art purely to gain wealth isn’t ideal, but having a passion for art can help you recognize opportunities for wealth more quickly and sensitively than others, making a life close to art a truly fortunate one. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”