Walt Disney gained worldwide fame with the animated film ‘Steamboat Willie,’ but Disney’s first studio went bankrupt. By the mid-1930s, he had produced over 400 animations, most of which suffered heavy losses. In 1938, Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs made $8 million in just the first half—more than ten times the earnings of other films. Meanwhile, with this animation, the company paid overdue wages to its employees and recovered the losses it had sustained. An unusual event that changes everything is called a “tail event.” 40% of publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market lose nearly all their market capitalization 10 years after going public. Business and investing, after all, are based on probabilities. No one knows what the “tail event” will be. Therefore, to succeed, you need to try small, steady, many times with little impact, even if you fail. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Information asymmetry happens when buyers and sellers have different levels of information, leading to adverse selection in the market. Adverse selection occurs when one party, either the buyer or the seller, has hidden information about the product and makes buying or selling decisions based on that information. For example, in the used car market , buyers cannot know everything about the cars and cannot fully trust them. Because of this, they often try to buy used cars at lower prices to evaluate their quality. To make buyers feel more confident, sellers might promise to repair the car free of charge if it breaks within a year after purchase, protecting themselves against adverse selection. A successful transaction depends on strategies that align with the market’s specific characteristics. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”