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Showing posts with the label type II error

Just my thoughts #0766

Sometimes one event causes another. In such cases, the first event is often the result of a previous event that led to it. For example, if you roll a die and get a 3, that result already includes the number 3 on the die. If that’s the case, then we should consider that the number of ‘beings born’ in this world is very small compared to ‘things that never came into existence.’ ‘Coincidence’ is thinking that something can happen randomly, and ‘intention’ is excluding the birth of other things to make it happen. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”