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Showing posts with the label hypothesis

Just my thoughts #0669

Virtualization is practically an extension of reality and, financially, a different way of representing ownership. Ultimately, reality exists in our perception, which we experience and verify. Our senses serve as tools that transfer information from the external world into our brains, where this data is then reconstructed in our perception. The reason we dismiss digital currencies is that we see virtual things as “non-existent.” However, if you think about it, the state of existence varies depending on whether it is virtual or physical, and all information processing takes place within our perception, only providing feedback to reality. In perception, the difference between virtual and real is meaningless. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”