Tendency: The force that maintains a phenomenon’s movement in a consistent direction. Therefore, as long as this tendency persists, the future can be predicted within certain limits. When tendencies change, so does the future. The surest way to get wealthy is to know the future first. Of course, just knowing the future isn’t enough. Still, it’s clear that those who see the future faster and have a wealth of knowledge will have an advantage in competition. In society, people operate under a common direction that its members agree upon and believe in, and they have the power to maintain that direction. For example, a brief fashion trend, the ongoing rain during the rainy season, or the inertia in physics that keeps an object moving at the same velocity unless acted upon by an external force. Once a force moves in a specific direction, it tends to continue in that direction. By carefully reading trends, you are more likely to build wealth or achieve social success. - Joseph’s “just my tho...
The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”