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Showing posts with the label hypothesis

Just my thoughts #0623

Meeting someone intentionally requires planning a specific time and place, and because it is a three-dimensional event, it can be seen as a cosmic occurrence. We can’t meet simply by setting a time, nor can we meet just by choosing a place. So, how much more astonishing is it to meet someone by chance without an appointment? Meeting and breaking up with someone are by no means easy. We create cosmic events every day, fulfilling vast mathematical probabilities and physical conditions. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”

Just my thoughts #0278

The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”