Investing means investing time, not people or assets. The object you invest in doesn’t generate money; time does. Failing to understand the role and principles of time in business and investment is a waste of energy. Because time is invisible, we often overlook it or fail to recognize its impact and role. This world is driven by probability. When dealing with probability, the first thing to consider is the invisible nature of time. Ignoring this fact leads to waste and inefficiency without us even realizing the damage. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The social scientist’s method of confirming the facts is first to verify the beta error (Type II error) and then the alpha error (Type I error) before accepting the hypothesis as true. In other words, if the probability is less than 5% after focusing on the likelihood of accepting a false hypothesis as true (Type II error), then we risk rejecting a true hypothesis (Type I error) as false. It’s a conservative position that new information will be accepted only when the probability of being wrong is very small. This verification method is helpful if you don’t want to be swayed by conspiracy theories. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”