Walt Disney gained worldwide fame with the animated film ‘Steamboat Willie,’ but Disney’s first studio went bankrupt. By the mid-1930s, he had produced over 400 animations, most of which suffered heavy losses. In 1938, Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs made $8 million in just the first half—more than ten times the earnings of other films. Meanwhile, with this animation, the company paid overdue wages to its employees and recovered the losses it had sustained. An unusual event that changes everything is called a “tail event.” 40% of publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market lose nearly all their market capitalization 10 years after going public. Business and investing, after all, are based on probabilities. No one knows what the “tail event” will be. Therefore, to succeed, you need to try small, steady, many times with little impact, even if you fail. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
Most of the time, experts are individuals who make a living by simplifying complex concepts. In other words, an expert serves as a commentator or interpreter. Positions that readily clarify intricate topics often exist in fields filled with conflict or dissatisfaction, as well as those that engage in productive activities. Lawyers and politicians represent the former category, while media professionals belong to the latter. The degrees of difficulty in complexity frequently create a demand for certain jobs, which also presents a business opportunity. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”