Stocks represent trades that signify the future value of the present. The current price of a stock conveys insights about the company’s future. In essence, it involves the buying and selling of future potential. However, stock prices also reflect past performance. When a company announces its performance, it often includes disclosures about stock purchases and sales by major shareholders or executives. This practice has historical roots, but the public disclosure of such information now affects the stock’s current price. Time influences present value, whether it pertains to the past or the future. Ultimately, time is the most critical variable in asset valuation. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The most important aspect of investing is managing risk. However, in most cases, risk management is interpreted and assessed in relation to past patterns. When asset prices fall, the perceived risk appears significant. That doesn’t imply there weren’t risks; investors simply didn’t recognize the risks that originally existed. The level of risk is almost identical whether the price of an asset goes up or down, but when prices decline, they tend to drop further because fear prevents us from purchasing more assets, leading us to retreat. It’s not that the risk has escalated. It is unwise to link risk with past patterns. There have been numerous exceptions in the world, and many beings on this planet have disappeared because they could not adapt. Did dinosaurs not become extinct on Earth ? Exceptions are exceptions because they are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”