In markets that trade natural products, such as agricultural, fishery, energy, and commodities markets, oversupply or at least excess supply causes problems. When supply is high, prices plummet, causing significant damage to producers; conversely, when supply is low, prices rise, and consumer sentiment diminishes. As a result, both suppliers and consumers suffer. The challenge is that it is difficult to intentionally set the level of production. Because of this, a futures market develops in situations where we have to accept what nature provides. Futures trading is a method in which a producer and a distributor agree in advance to trade the price of an item to be produced in the future, without knowing the exact quantity yet. In other words, in futures trading, the focus is on price rather than quantity. Since it is challenging to stock items that require freshness, futures trading offers advantages by allowing transactions to be made in advance. However, if supply fluctuates too much,...
You probably suspect that your decisions are reasonably based on your judgment. However, human decisions are made according to the rules and structures at that time. By changing the decision structure and regulations, humans make different decisions under the same conditions. If you make a mistake, you don't have to regret or blame yourself for making the wrong decision. But, if you fail to judge the regulations and structure of the decision, then you must reflect on the mistake. This is to prevent repeated mistakes.
- Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
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