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Just my thoughts #0820

Fact Check: Humans cannot honestly know the future. It only partially predicts the future within limited scenarios and conditions. The weather forecast is an example. When you look back at the past from the present, you can understand the situation relatively accurately, but you did not fully grasp what the event was like at that time. Later, we only justify the past. One instance of preparing for a probabilistically unstable future is to consider the statistic that lowering the speed limit on highways can reduce the accident rate. However, the most reliable prediction method is to assume the future is unknown and to act only after confirming the current situation. Fact-checking is crucial in business management and investing. Avoid hasty forecasts; instead, wait until you have verified the information before acting. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
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Just my thoughts #0443

Frugality and efficiency are complementary and must be balanced. Emphasizing savings can reduce efficiency, while emphasizing efficiency can lead to waste. In the world, when you emphasize one aspect, unintended side effects often occur in unexpected areas. Although they are invisible, various elements of the world are closely interconnected, and there are many situations in which humans do not understand these relationships. Achieving a balance among all elements at the proper level is a significant challenge. Leaders are those who undertake this difficult work.


- Joseph’s “just my thoughts”




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