Stocks represent trades that signify the future value of the present. The current price of a stock conveys insights about the company’s future. In essence, it involves the buying and selling of future potential. However, stock prices also reflect past performance. When a company announces its performance, it often includes disclosures about stock purchases and sales by major shareholders or executives. This practice has historical roots, but the public disclosure of such information now affects the stock’s current price. Time influences present value, whether it pertains to the past or the future. Ultimately, time is the most critical variable in asset valuation. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
The Anchoring Heuristic In 1974, Tversky and Kahneman divided two groups and asked one group to calculate the value of "8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1" and the other group to answer the question "1x2x3x4x5x6x7x8" immediately. The average calculation result of the first group was 2,250, and that of the second group was 512. For both groups, the original answer is 40,320, which is the same. Although they multiplied by the same number, the first group multiplied by the order of the larger number, resulting in a higher baseline adjustment, while the second group did the opposite. When we judge and make decisions, the reference point determines the extent and direction of our illusion. When we live, we have to deal with these fallible human beings. - Joseph's "just my thoughts"
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