Weather forecasters on the news often feature well-dressed meteorologists who diligently explain the weather using various meteorological terms. But if the forecasts were always accurate, there would be no need for such lengthy explanations. People wouldn’t complain if it were simply raining or not, if the temperature was a few degrees, and if the humidity was comfortable or uncomfortable. However, since there’s a chance the forecast could be wrong, they try to explain it thoroughly to ask for people’s understanding. Do you see why simplicity is great? Simplicity is great because no one can simplify it haphazardly. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
At Berkshire Hathaway ’s 2013 shareholders’ meeting, Warren Buffett said, “I’ve owned 400 to 500 companies’ stocks in my lifetime, but only about 10 of them made the most money.” His lifelong friend and investment partner, Charlie Munger , added, “With the exception of some of Berkshire Hathaway’s best investment practices , long-term performance is near-average.” Many people know Warren Buffett’s return on investment better than his mistakes or failures. It’s because of those 10 companies that he succeeded in investing. If there is a positive, there must be a negative. It’s better to prepare a realistic alternative in case you fail than to try to avoid failing. Humans are probabilistic beings . - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”