The world of investing is full of uncertainty. Even if we understand the past, we cannot predict the future, and past patterns are not always reliable. To maintain stability and protect my interests in an uncertain world, I need to know my own limits for change. Based on these limits, I should develop small, regular response patterns. In other words, the key to overcoming uncertainty is my own consistency, guided by the thresholds I observe in the world around me. Small, steady behaviors and habits can help manage or minimize the impact of uncertainty. No one invests without expecting the asset’s value to increase over time. The issue is that no one can truly predict the future, and even correct predictions are mostly based on probability and luck. However, from a broader perspective, microscopic risks can be managed. For example, the macro principle “Every human dies” must be 100% true, even if individual behaviors are unpredictable. - Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
In mathematics, a "recursive proposition" is a proposition whose true or false value is fed back into the proposition itself. For example, "I can never allow this to happen before I die!" is a recursive proposition. Unfortunately, the condition for proving that this is possible is that I die. The problem is that you are dead once, you can not be longer the person who gives permission. This phenomenon also occurs in the investment business. The most common example of this is an investment in stocks. This is a recursive proposition because if the price of a stock goes up and you sell it, the sales volume directly affects the price. Therefore, the number of shares (trading volume) is one of the most important factors to be considerable when investing in stocks. This property of recursive propositions is a good explanation for why the large trading of stock volumes is difficult to work.
- Joseph’s “just my thoughts”
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